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This crypto winter will be long, cold and harsh

Jared Dilian
Jared Dilian5/19/2022 05:32 PM GMT+08  • 4 min read
This crypto winter will be long, cold and harsh
So, when people ask whether crypto will come back, the answer is yes, absolutely it will come back, but 98% of it won’t / Photo by Kanchanara via Unsplash
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Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets are notoriously volatile, routinely suffering large drops of 50% or more. This does not seem to bother the diehard crypto believers too much, who have become used to declines of this magnitude. They simply use the declines to buy more. Even so, there are still a lot of people in the space who remember “crypto winter”, the period between early 2018 and mid-2020 when prices went down and stayed down, and much of the innovation in crypto came to a halt.

So, the question is: What do we make of the recent gyrations in the space, with the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index down some 60% from its peak in early November? Does this mark the beginning of a new, long winter after a short spring or is it just a pause that will refresh?

Although the selloff in crypto may not be as big as others in its history, it feels worse because the market has grown so big — to the trillions of dollars in size. The damage in crypto has been broad, with hundreds of coins having plunged by some 90%. Bitcoin, the biggest and most well-known of the cryptocurrencies, has not done as bad, but is still down a painful 56% from the peak.

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