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“Do not buy on the sound of cannons” says Allianz GI

Goola Warden
Goola Warden3/4/2022 08:03 PM GMT+08  • 2 min read
“Do not buy on the sound of cannons” says Allianz GI
Allianz GI says that a doubling of oil prices within two years usually leads to recession
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According to research by Allianz Global Investors, “Buy on the sound of cannons” is an old investment adage that isn’t supported by its research into 13 geopolitical crises. Stocks have sometimes (but notalways) done somewhat better after the onset of global crises, and “safe” assets have sold off at times, but noncrisis-related factors were the bigger drivers of performance, the research points out.

“For today’s investors, inflation should remain a key concern: rising oil prices are inflationary, and central banks want to keep inflation in check,” the report says. “We remain cautious on equities for now: the markets have enjoyed years of solid performance, and the Ukraine crisis may spur additional selloffs over the coming weeks,” it adds.

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