CFA Society Singapore
SINGAPORE (Nov 9): Analysts are staying positive on Genting Singapore (GENS) amid a selldown which they say is “unjustified”.
Since reporting its 2Q18 results after market close on Aug 3, GENS has seen its share price plunge close to 28%. Shares in GENS closed at $1.23 on Aug 3, and closed at 89 cents on Nov 8.
“In our view, GENS is unjustifiably trading at ‘crisis’ valuations of 5.4x FY19 EV/EBITDA or nearly half the 5-year mean and 1.3x FY19 P/BV or only 0.1x above the Global Financial Crisis trough,” says Maybank Kim Eng Research analyst Yin Shao Yang in a Friday report.
The brokerage is upgrading GENS to “buy”, from “hold” previous, and raising its target price by 3 cents to $1.29.
Over at CGS-CIMB Research, lead analyst Cezzane See agrees that GENS is “unduly pricing in crisis levels”.
“Market [is] unduly pricing in watershed valuations,” See says in a Thursday report. “At 5.8x FY19F EV/EBITDA, the market is pegging GENS to trough valuations of end-FY15 to FY16.”
As she explains it, GENS’ adjusted EBITDA was below $900 million, trade receivable impairments were above $230-260 million per annum, and receivables balance was above $200 million during that period.
“9M18 adjusted EBITDA, trade receivable impairments and end-Sep 18 trade receivable balances are on relatively firmer footing,” See says.
As such, CGS-CIMB is keeping its “buy” call on GENS. However, the brokerage is lowering its target price to $1.28, from $1.44. According to See, the lower target price is “just to be cautious on global uncertainties”.
Meanwhile, Maybank’s Yin says he is “pleasantly surprised” by GENS’ 3Q18 results.
GENS before market open on Nov 9 announced a 46% rise in 3Q18 earnings to $210.4 million from $143.8 million a year ago on lower operating expenses.
Revenue for 3Q18 rose 1% to $639.1 million from a year ago as the group’s revenue continued to grow.
“Genting Singapore’s 3Q18 solid performance was due to solid growth in its overall gross gaming revenue (GGR) from both VIP and mass segments,” says RHB’s Singapore Research team, adding that the results were “within expectations”.
“We still like Genting Singapore for its continued focus on growing its VIP segment, and its potential expansion to the Japan market,” RHB says. “We believe the stock is undervalued – since it is trading at a relatively low P/E of 13x, vs the peer average of 18x.”
Amid a transfer of coverage, RHB says it is placing its estimates and target price under review. The brokerage has a “buy” call on GENS with a target price of $1.42.
As at 11.59am, shares in GENS are trading 7 cents higher, or up 7.9%, at 96 cents.
According to Maybank valuations, the stock has an estimated price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 times and a dividend yield of 3.9% for FY19.