Home THE DAILY EDGE Business Singapore dollar gains on appreciation bets to curb inflation
Singapore dollar gains on appreciation bets to curb inflation
Written by Bloomberg   
Thursday, 18 November 2010 10:59
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Singapore’s dollar rose on speculation the central bank will seek currency gains to temper the fastest inflation in 20 months.

Consumer prices climbed 3.7% in September from a year earlier, the most since January 2009, the government reported on Oct. 25. Inflation may reach 4% in some months of 2010 and 2011, compared with an official forecast of 2.5% to 3% for the year, Ong Chong Tee, deputy managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore, said today.
 
Singapore’s dollar rose 0.2% to $1.3002 versus the U.S. currency as of 10:34 a.m. local time, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It climbed to $1.2817 on Nov. 4, the highest since Bloomberg began compiling the data in 1981. The currency has gained 7.8% this year, the third-best performance among the 10 most-traded Asian currencies excluding the yen.
 
“The general expectation is that the appreciation policy is still very much intact,” said Philip Wee, a Singapore-based senior currency economist at DBS Group Holdings Ltd. “The Singapore dollar could rise to $1.20 at some point next year.”
 
The economy will expand 4% to 6% next year after estimated growth of 15% in 2010, the trade ministry said in a statement today.
 
Singapore’s gross domestic product shrank at an annualized rate of 18.7% in the third quarter from the previous three months, less than the 19.8% pace initially reported last month, the trade ministry said today. The economy grew 10.6% in the quarter from a year earlier versus a revised 19.5% expansion in the previous three months, it said.
 
The central bank uses the currency rather than interest rates to manage monetary policy, guiding the local dollar within a band of undisclosed trade-weighted currencies. The MAS adjusts the pace of appreciation or depreciation by changing the band’s slope, centre or width. At a twice-yearly policy review on Oct. 14 it said it will steepen the slope and widen the band, while continuing to seek a “modest and gradual appreciation.”
 
Singapore’s dollar will rise 2.4% to $1.27 against the greenback by the end of 2011, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The forecasts ranged from $1.20 to $1.33.
 
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Last Updated on Thursday, 18 November 2010 11:00